Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 57.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 57.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Poehling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling
Stamkos
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Poehling
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Poehling
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (437)
49.3% (789)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
56.9% (181)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
54.1% (98)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Poehling shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Poehling
Stamkos
Home
46.6% (232)
52.0% (512)
Away
46.3% (257)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Poehling
Stamkos
P1
43.9%
42.1%
P2
49.1%
56.4%
P3
46.4%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |