Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 51.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 85.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 68.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Poehling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Poehling
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Poehling
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Poehling
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
55.9% (499)
-5.5%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
56.3% (126)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
58.3% (12)
-13.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Poehling shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Poehling
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (467)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.1% (471)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Poehling
Stamkos
P1
54.6%
57.0%
P2
46.7%
59.2%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
OT
42.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |