Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 82.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Poehling
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
56.1% (342)
-6.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.3% (92)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
62.5% (8)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Poehling shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Poehling
Stamkos
Home
47.3% (404)
53.4% (208)
Away
46.9% (441)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Poehling
Stamkos
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
39.4%
52.8%
P3
49.1%
59.1%
OT
35.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%