Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 46.2% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 94.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Poehling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Poehling
Stamkos
Last 6: Poehling 5-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Poehling
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
0
Poehling
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (269)
55.3% (628)
-8.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.1% (216)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (139)
40.2% (87)
+2.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Poehling shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Poehling
Stamkos
Home
45.2% (177)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.3% (234)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Poehling
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
50.7%
P2
44.4%
53.8%
P3
44.6%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |