Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 73.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 78.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Strome
Hertl
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Strome
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
51.6% (1,084)
-7.5%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
61.0% (246)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
44.1% (136)
+8.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Strome shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
45.1% (441)
55.2% (696)
Away
43.5% (377)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
42.9%
55.4%
P2
44.4%
54.8%
P3
45.8%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |