Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 46.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 83.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Strome
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (371)
57.0% (718)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
64.9% (188)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
44.2% (77)
+11.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Strome shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
47.6% (225)
59.2% (463)
Away
44.8% (261)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
45.4%
56.3%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
45.2%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |