Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 67.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Carrick
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carrick
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Carrick
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (307)
49.2% (901)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
68.2% (22)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (56)
49.8% (219)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Carrick shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Carrick
Kuraly
Home
50.3% (175)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.5% (194)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Carrick
Kuraly
P1
41.0%
50.9%
P2
51.2%
49.5%
P3
55.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
37.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |