Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Carrick
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carrick
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Carrick
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (352)
51.4% (735)
-2.5%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
63.5% (115)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (45)
42.9% (133)
-0.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
46.9% (192)
52.3% (524)
Away
51.6% (221)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
48.1%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |