Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 79.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Carrick
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carrick
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Carrick
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (654)
58.6% (597)
-4.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.9% (57)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
63.9% (36)
51.9% (52)
+12.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (328)
59.6% (344)
Away
58.0% (364)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
56.7%
53.1%
P2
51.1%
62.1%
P3
54.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |