Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 80.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Carrick
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carrick
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (307)
55.3% (897)
-6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.1% (113)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (56)
50.8% (132)
-2.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
50.3% (175)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.5% (194)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
41.0%
55.8%
P2
51.2%
55.6%
P3
55.3%
55.7%
Final 5 min
37.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |