Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Carrick
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (439)
58.5% (135)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
44.4% (18)
+4.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Carrick shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Carrick
Karlsson
Home
58.2% (225)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.5% (270)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Carrick
Karlsson
P1
56.7%
54.4%
P2
52.8%
66.7%
P3
54.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%