Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 91.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 70.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Lafferty
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lafferty
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
0
Lafferty
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (366)
41.1% (559)
+11.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.0% (12)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (104)
50.0% (2)
-3.8%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
53.1% (258)
45.7% (247)
Away
48.9% (227)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
52.5%
45.5%
P2
49.7%
36.8%
P3
51.3%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |