Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 68.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lafferty
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (324)
39.8% (128)
+2.8%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
22.2% (9)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
40.9% (181)
29.7% (74)
Away
43.4% (175)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
42.2%
40.7%
P2
36.4%
35.1%
P3
48.6%
41.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%