Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.7% vs Zegras 35.4% (+22.1%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Lafferty
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (42)
29.6% (230)
+22.8%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
47.8% (23)
30.6% (147)
Away
57.9% (19)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
53.3%
33.0%
P2
55.6%
31.7%
P3
47.1%
25.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%