Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.4% vs Zegras 41.3% (+14.0%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 66.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Lafferty
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (144)
36.5% (156)
+14.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
40.7% (27)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Lafferty shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Zegras
Home
53.2% (62)
38.9% (113)
Away
48.9% (94)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Lafferty
Zegras
P1
53.3%
40.0%
P2
46.7%
38.1%
P3
52.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%