Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Reinhart 46.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Hayes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Hayes
Reinhart
Last 7: Hayes 7-0 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
44.4% (234)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
55.3% (38)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
25.0% (4)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
50.6% (237)
44.9% (158)
Away
47.3% (241)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
43.9%
43.0%
P2
47.3%
46.7%
P3
55.9%
46.3%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |