Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 48.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 72.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Reinhart
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reinhart
Hertl
Last 5: Reinhart 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Reinhart
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (275)
51.6% (1,084)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
61.0% (246)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
44.1% (136)
+9.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Reinhart shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Hertl
Home
49.8% (201)
55.2% (696)
Away
46.8% (158)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Reinhart
Hertl
P1
54.8%
55.4%
P2
40.5%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |