Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 45.1% vs Hertl 56.8% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 83.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 83.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Reinhart
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Reinhart
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Reinhart
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
0
Reinhart
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (345)
57.0% (718)
-12.4%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
64.9% (188)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
44.2% (77)
-1.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Reinhart shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Hertl
Home
47.9% (267)
59.2% (463)
Away
40.3% (263)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Reinhart
Hertl
P1
45.6%
56.3%
P2
42.0%
55.4%
P3
45.4%
60.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |