Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Hertl 57.2% (-19.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Reinhart
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
58.1% (823)
-19.1%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
56.2% (265)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
62.9% (35)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Reinhart shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Hertl
Home
35.7% (84)
59.7% (561)
Away
41.3% (63)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Reinhart
Hertl
P1
42.6%
51.6%
P2
34.7%
63.8%
P3
37.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%