Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 50.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Reinhart
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Reinhart
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Reinhart
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (259)
54.1% (1,117)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
59.8% (296)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
34.4% (32)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Reinhart shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Hertl
Home
54.9% (235)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.3% (231)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Reinhart
Hertl
P1
52.3%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |