Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 73.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 74.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Pettersson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
16
(21 meetings)
5
16
Pettersson
Steel
Last 10: Pettersson 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Pettersson
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
7
Pettersson
Steel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
5
Pettersson
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
50.6% (2,876)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
62.6% (179)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
37.4% (254)
+1.3%
On power play, Steel has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Steel
Home
46.8% (2,734)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Pettersson
Steel
P1
44.7%
51.9%
P2
46.0%
49.5%
P3
47.4%
49.6%
OT
39.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |