Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Steel 52.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 67.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 59.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Roy
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Roy
Steel
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Roy
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
51.6% (401)
-10.1%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
66.7% (39)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (31)
44.4% (9)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Roy shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Roy
Steel
Home
46.1% (167)
55.8% (206)
Away
43.3% (150)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Roy
Steel
P1
46.7%
57.0%
P2
38.5%
50.7%
P3
50.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |