Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Steel 52.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 63.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 62.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 63.0%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Dubois
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dubois
Steel
Last 5: Dubois 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Dubois
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dubois
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
56.9% (320)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
71.4% (7)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
37.0% (73)
+16.3%
On power play, Steel has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Dubois shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Dubois
Steel
Home
48.3% (582)
55.9% (202)
Away
51.1% (579)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Dubois
Steel
P1
52.0%
55.5%
P2
49.9%
55.1%
P3
46.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |