Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.9%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Couturier 56.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 80.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Dowd
Couturier
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
14
Dowd
Couturier
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
0
Dowd
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
55.6% (532)
+2.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
66.1% (112)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
53.8% (106)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
58.4% (399)
63.3% (357)
Away
53.9% (369)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
59.0%
57.0%
P2
56.1%
55.3%
P3
54.6%
60.0%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | OT | 02:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |