Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 54.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Couturier
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (303)
51.6% (1,084)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.5% (55)
61.0% (246)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
44.1% (136)
-4.1%
On even strength, Couturier has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Couturier shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Couturier
Hertl
Home
54.3% (219)
55.2% (696)
Away
56.9% (209)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Couturier
Hertl
P1
53.2%
55.4%
P2
54.8%
54.8%
P3
57.9%
48.9%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%