Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 66.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Couturier
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Couturier
Hertl
Last 10: Couturier 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couturier
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Couturier
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Couturier
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
57.0% (718)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
64.9% (188)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
44.2% (77)
-1.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Couturier shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Couturier
Hertl
Home
54.4% (680)
59.2% (463)
Away
52.4% (614)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Couturier
Hertl
P1
56.3%
56.3%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
52.2%
60.5%
OT
60.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |