Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Carrick
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carrick
Kuraly
Last 5: Carrick 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (352)
52.3% (982)
-3.4%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
41.9% (43)
+39.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (45)
39.2% (245)
+3.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Carrick shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Carrick
Kuraly
Home
46.9% (192)
50.3% (680)
Away
51.6% (221)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Carrick
Kuraly
P1
48.1%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |