Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Kuraly
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Kuraly
Aho
Last 10: Kuraly 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
10
Kuraly
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
48.5% (778)
+0.7%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
63.4% (191)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
50.8% (65)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Aho
Home
51.7% (603)
51.3% (530)
Away
47.3% (539)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Kuraly
Aho
P1
50.9%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
49.1%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |