Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Aho 53.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Kuraly
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kuraly
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
51.2% (785)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
63.8% (213)
+36.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
57.9% (57)
-16.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Aho
Home
49.2% (248)
54.9% (548)
Away
47.3% (317)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Kuraly
Aho
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
44.7%
58.9%
P3
51.7%
50.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |