Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.0%). Kuraly wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Aho 50.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 79.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kuraly
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
49.9% (851)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
43.3% (60)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Kuraly shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Aho
Home
54.6% (304)
53.2% (554)
Away
45.5% (290)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Kuraly
Aho
P1
55.2%
49.1%
P2
45.7%
50.8%
P3
49.5%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |