Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kuraly wins 62.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 55.9% vs Crosby 53.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Kuraly
Crosby
Last 10: Kuraly 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Kuraly
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
2
Kuraly
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
2
Kuraly
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (310)
54.3% (996)
+4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
53.5% (215)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
39.2% (51)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
57.1% (184)
55.8% (615)
Away
57.7% (215)
51.5% (647)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
56.0%
58.7%
P2
56.6%
50.0%
P3
58.0%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
62.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |