Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 96.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Kuraly
Crosby
Last 10: Kuraly 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Kuraly
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
9
2
Kuraly
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
4
Kuraly
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
52.5% (1,443)
-3.3%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
54.7% (369)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
55.9% (34)
-6.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
51.7% (603)
53.0% (931)
Away
47.3% (539)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
50.9%
50.3%
P2
49.5%
55.4%
P3
49.1%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |