Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Crosby 57.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 93.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 76.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kuraly
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Kuraly
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kuraly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
57.8% (1,437)
-8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.9% (381)
+39.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
50.0% (54)
-8.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
49.2% (248)
59.2% (985)
Away
47.3% (317)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
48.3%
57.3%
P2
44.7%
59.5%
P3
51.7%
58.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |