Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 69.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 69.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kuraly
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
53.7% (984)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
64.3% (14)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
54.6% (304)
56.9% (649)
Away
45.5% (290)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
55.2%
55.8%
P2
45.7%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
58.7%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |