Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Kuraly
Crosby
Last 9: Kuraly 8-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
8
0
Kuraly
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kuraly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
56.2% (1,451)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.4% (293)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
55.3% (38)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
57.3% (293)
59.1% (939)
Away
51.2% (289)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
53.8%
54.9%
P2
51.5%
60.8%
P3
57.6%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |