Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 58-51 in 109 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
51
(109 meetings)
58
51
Kuraly
Crosby
Last 10: Kuraly 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
23
Kuraly
Crosby
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
38
11
Kuraly
Crosby
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
15
17
Kuraly
Crosby
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
47.1% (765)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
51.9% (3,187)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
49.9%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
OT
52.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |