Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Novak 46.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 74.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Kuraly
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kuraly
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Kuraly
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Kuraly
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
43.2% (118)
+9.1%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
47.8% (23)
-5.9%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Novak
Home
50.3% (680)
50.7% (71)
Away
48.5% (590)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Kuraly
Novak
P1
49.5%
44.7%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |