Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Novak 45.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 67.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Kuraly
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kuraly
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
43.8% (384)
+5.4%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
58.8% (17)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
100.0% (1)
-50.2%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Novak
Home
51.7% (603)
46.5% (202)
Away
47.3% (539)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Kuraly
Novak
P1
50.9%
49.2%
P2
49.5%
44.2%
P3
49.1%
40.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |