Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Novak 45.0% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 72.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Kuraly
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kuraly
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
42.9% (198)
+12.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
40.9% (22)
+14.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Novak
Home
57.3% (293)
40.9% (110)
Away
51.2% (289)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Kuraly
Novak
P1
53.8%
39.1%
P2
51.5%
43.9%
P3
57.6%
44.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |