Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 68.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kuraly
Trocheck
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
5
Kuraly
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
2
Kuraly
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
54.3% (955)
-2.0%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
64.6% (96)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
51.0% (194)
-11.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
50.3% (680)
58.3% (604)
Away
48.5% (590)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
49.5%
53.9%
P2
49.6%
55.7%
P3
49.0%
54.3%
OT
57.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |