Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 73.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Kuraly
Trocheck
Last 10: Kuraly 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
9
Kuraly
Trocheck
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
0
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
55.0% (956)
-5.8%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
59.8% (266)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
56.3% (64)
-6.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
51.7% (603)
57.7% (673)
Away
47.3% (539)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
50.9%
55.4%
P2
49.5%
55.6%
P3
49.1%
56.4%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |