Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 75.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Kuraly
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
59.6% (1,032)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.1% (253)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
55.4% (249)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
57.3% (293)
61.7% (786)
Away
51.2% (289)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
53.8%
61.7%
P2
51.5%
58.8%
P3
57.6%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |