Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Kuraly wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 18-2 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 79.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 95.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 87.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
18
(20 meetings)
2
18
Kuraly
Trocheck
Last 10: Kuraly 1-9 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
10
Kuraly
Trocheck
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Kuraly
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
57.6% (1,061)
-8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
65.1% (338)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
49.5% (101)
-7.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
49.2% (248)
61.8% (735)
Away
47.3% (317)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
48.3%
57.7%
P2
44.7%
57.9%
P3
51.7%
60.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |