Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuraly wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Kuraly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kuraly
Trocheck
Last 10: Kuraly 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
0
Kuraly
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Kuraly
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
57.8% (626)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
44.0% (141)
+1.3%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Kuraly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Trocheck
Home
54.6% (304)
54.4% (390)
Away
45.5% (290)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Kuraly
Trocheck
P1
55.2%
56.4%
P2
45.7%
58.7%
P3
49.5%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |