Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kuraly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kuraly
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
51.4% (735)
+0.9%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
63.5% (115)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
42.9% (133)
-3.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Karlsson
Home
50.3% (680)
52.3% (524)
Away
48.5% (590)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Kuraly
Karlsson
P1
49.5%
50.7%
P2
49.6%
51.4%
P3
49.0%
53.2%
OT
57.1%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |