Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kuraly
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
58.6% (597)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.9% (57)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
51.9% (52)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Karlsson
Home
57.3% (293)
59.6% (344)
Away
51.2% (289)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kuraly
Karlsson
P1
53.8%
53.1%
P2
51.5%
62.1%
P3
57.6%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%