Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Kuraly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kuraly
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
56.3% (739)
-6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.6% (181)
+41.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
47.2% (53)
-5.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Karlsson
Home
49.2% (248)
56.5% (462)
Away
47.3% (317)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Kuraly
Karlsson
P1
48.3%
57.1%
P2
44.7%
55.2%
P3
51.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |