Sean Kuraly vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kuraly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Kuraly
Karlsson
Last 10: Kuraly 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
7
Kuraly
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Kuraly
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
8
4
Kuraly
Karlsson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
51.8% (7,849)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
54.8% (1,048)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
44.2% (1,109)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Karlsson
Home
51.9% (3,187)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Kuraly
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
49.9%
51.3%
P3
50.0%
52.4%
OT
52.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |