Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Monahan 51.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 65.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 62.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Matthews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Matthews
Monahan
Last 10: Matthews 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Matthews
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Matthews
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Matthews
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
50.2% (1,117)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
55.5% (283)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
56.8% (44)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Matthews
Monahan
Home
48.4% (562)
50.1% (731)
Away
45.3% (570)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Matthews
Monahan
P1
51.3%
51.3%
P2
44.5%
50.3%
P3
44.6%
53.1%
OT
55.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |