Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Eller
Monahan
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Eller
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Eller
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
57.1% (871)
-4.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
53.1% (262)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
44.6% (139)
+1.6%
On power play, Eller has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
54.5% (448)
55.3% (644)
Away
50.2% (484)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
52.8%
53.9%
P2
50.9%
55.3%
P3
53.4%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |